WEST MICHIGAN - Another round of strong to severe storms will be possible this evening and overnight into early Wednesday morning as a low pressure system and warm front approach the state.
There is some level of uncertainty with this severe weather event, mostly because it is contingent upon how far north the warm front can lift. As of now, it appears the greatest threat area will be along/south of I-94 where it will be warmer (in the 60s and more humid) and all hazards are possible. There is the chance for some isolated stronger storms to make it as far north as I-96 too, with hail as the primary threat. The storm Prediction Center outlook now has level 3 out of 5 (orange/enhanced) across Berrien, Cass, St. Joseph, and Branch Counties...the same areas hit last week Friday. We expect the warm front to lift into these areas, perhaps producing a spinning motion and generating thunderstorms with rotating updrafts (supercells). North to Grand Rapids is a level 2 out of 5 (yellow), while lesser chances for severe storms exist in areas north of Grand Rapids (green level 1 out of 5). See image below.
See forecast model images below for timing. 9 PM Tuesday, midnight, and 2 AM Wednesday.
This is a similar set up to what we saw last week Friday with a low pressure area and warm front lifting into the state. This can induce a spinning motion in the atmosphere and trigger a tornado or two. Hail and wind are also possible. See the severe weather threats below.
It's not uncommon to get early season tornadoes here in Michigan. Recall that in Marshall (Calhoun County) February 27, 2024 had an EF 1 tornado occur. Cass County had an EF 1 and Kent County an EF 0, both on March 30, 2025.
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